Regional World Poker Tour Event This weekend and the 3 card Straight flush draw

Geared up to play in a 1500.00 buyin tomorrow, day 1B, for the WPT main event here in Jacksonville. Talkin about Range and Poker Stove with my friend Doc Bloom in Jacksonville last night. One thing we were really talking about that I think is key to making it through deepstack multi-day live events is patterns. Seeing betting patterns, seeing card patterns, and hand reading.

I love suited connectors and I try to play them alot and as profitably as I can so I analyze them alot. One of my favorite things to say when I have a suited connector in my hand is, "I had a straight flush going".

One hand I analyzed on my own today was flopping a 3 card str8 flush draw. Not possible you say? Well, Let me give you an example, its early in a deepstack event, you call a 3bet raise of 150 with 5c6c,(I always assume I am about a 35% hand equity with a mid suited connector vs a raise).
Flop comes out 2d,7c Jd , what do u have here? Well, more than you might think.

First, you have 567 of clubs, raise bets 1/2 pot to 200. I really want to see the next card. I need a 4,8, or any club to give me a straight or a flush draw on the turn. (4 or 8 of clubs to give me a 15out river) What are my odds, well, assuming my of raise had thetop 9.8% of hands, I am still a 20% chance to win this hand. IF the pf raise had a large over pair, im only at 10% right now. BUT.. I call given the huge implied offs I am getting. pot is now 800, and the turn brings me a beautiful 4 of clubs. What are my odds now? Well, against a random top 9.8% of hands I am sitting at 39% chance, vs a large pair, I am sitting at 33%. BUT... If I hit this 15outer, I am confident I have a winner.

Next up.. what does this joker bet on the turn? if he has a large pair, and he recognizes he is up vs a strong drawing hand he might push you off the pot with a large over pot sized bet, otherwise, he may not realize and bet 1/2 to 3/4 the pot, with a bet of pot or less, with relative stacks of 10-20000 I am calling here to try to hit my str8 or flush, and possibly make a huge dent on this guys stack with my large 2 pot size river bet. Say he bets 700 into the 800chip pot, I call to make the pot 2200, i hit a nice 3spades, looks innocent enough, I am betting out here with a 3500-4000 chip bet to almost make it look like I missed and am trying to bluff him off the pot. If he is just stubborn enough with a pair of Aces he will pobably call.